8 Fantasy Football Sleepers Our Model Is Flagging Right Now

Every August, the same conversation happens in every league: who's being drafted too late. We built BlitzWit's rating engine specifically to answer that question with real numbers instead of gut feel, so this week we ran it against current ADP data to find the biggest gaps between what our model thinks a player is worth and where they're actually going off the board.

Here are the 8 largest gaps right now, along with what's actually driving each one.

Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jacksonville

Rating: 98.6 · ADP: 113.1 (QB16)

This is the widest gap we're seeing at the position, and it isn't close. Lawrence is rated a near-elite 98.6, but he's currently the 16th quarterback off the board, going in the 9th or 10th round of most drafts. His recent trend sits in the 71st percentile, meaning our model sees him trending up, not down, right as drafters are treating him like a backup option.

Drake Maye, QB, New England

Rating: 95.71 · ADP: 114.3 (QB17)

A near-identical story to Lawrence, an elite rated quarterback going as a late-round afterthought. Maye's played all 17 games, so this isn't a small-sample fluke, it's a full season of data saying he's being undervalued.

Jalen Coker, WR, Carolina

Rating: 77.23 · ADP: 135.7 (WR53)

The most interesting name on this list. Coker's rating isn't elite, but the gap between his rating and his ADP is enormous, and his recent trend is in the 88th percentile, one of the strongest trend signals in this entire group. Something is clearly moving in the right direction here in a way the market hasn't caught up to yet.

Jordan Addison, WR, Minnesota

Rating: 88.71 · ADP: 96.6 (WR43)

One flag worth being straight about, Addison's recent trend sits at just the 2nd percentile, essentially flat to declining recently. His rating is still strong because of his season-long profile, but this is a name we'd treat as a value pick based on track record, not based on where he's trending right now.

Romeo Doubs, WR, New England

Rating: 74.50 · ADP: 118.0 (WR51)

Doubs is a real value gap, but the smallest rating of the group here, worth treating as a depth piece rather than a league winner.

Chris Godwin Jr., WR, Tampa Bay

Rating: 76.80 · ADP: 111.3 (WR49)

Only 9 games in our sample so far, worth knowing that context, this rating reflects a smaller, more recent sample rather than a full season track record.

C.J. Stroud, QB, Houston

Rating: 66.05 · ADP: 141.0 (QB20)

Worth being honest about this one instead of just chasing the gap, Stroud's actual rating is only 66.05, mediocre by our own model's standards, it's just even more mediocre relative to where he's being drafted. This is a "cheap, not necessarily good" situation, not a hidden gem.

Travis Etienne, RB, New Orleans

Rating: 86.45 · ADP: 118.8 (RB34)

A strong, full-season (17 games) rating paired with a real ADP discount and a positive recent trend (55th percentile). One of the more complete profiles on this list.

A word on how we found these

This isn't just us eyeballing ADP boards. Every player on BlitzWit gets a 0-100 rating built from real season data, snap share, target share, efficiency, and recent performance trends, with adjustments for injury status and small sample sizes. When a player's rating sits well above where they're actually being drafted, that's the gap we're flagging here. You can see the full breakdown behind any of these ratings, including the specific trend data referenced above, on each player's page.

For context on how the wider industry is approaching ADP value this month, outlets like ESPN have been building out their own sleeper, breakout, and bust lists for the 2026 season, and NFL.com's own coverage has noted that by mid-August, the most talked-about names are already priced in, making the real value in the deeper rounds where fewer people are paying attention. That's exactly the territory our model is built to search.